Ceramica Cleopatra Club vs. El Ahly SC - More Markets
Volume:
$163,823
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24h
7d
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Description
This event group covers a professional Egyptian Premier League soccer match between Ceramica Cleopatra Club and El Ahly SC scheduled for April 7, 2026. Markets span spread betting (goal-margin outcomes), over/under total goals, and both-teams-to-score, all resolving to the official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Polymarket offers outcome-specific prediction markets (spreads, totals, BTTS) while Kalshi presents three separate markets that all resolve to Yes regardless of match outcome. This is a market design divergence, not a resolution logic conflict.
Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Polymarket and Kalshi positions on this match. Polymarket markets are outcome-discriminating; Kalshi's structure suggests administrative confirmation rather than outcome prediction. Clarify Kalshi's market intent before trading.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Six outcome-specific markets: El Ahly SC (-1.5), Ceramica Cleopatra Club (-2.5), El Ahly SC (-2.5), Ceramica Cleopatra Club (-1.5), Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5/4.5 goals, and Both Teams to Score. Each resolves based on final score per efa.com.eg. Primary source is official EFA statistics; fallback to credible reporting consensus if not published within 2 hours of match end. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
Kalshi: Three markets, each resolving to Yes: (1) Ceramica Cleopatra wins after 90+stoppage, (2) Al Ahly wins after 90+stoppage, (3) Tie after 90+stoppage. No resolution source specified. No fallback or edge-case handling documented. Structure suggests these are outcome-confirmation markets rather than outcome-prediction markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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