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Closed: Sep 26, 9:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Central Michigan and Miami (FL). It provides a way to bet specifically on the performance of each team in the last 15 minutes of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the fourth quarter of the Central Michigan vs Miami (FL) college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If Miami (FL) scores more points in that quarter, the 'Miami (FL) wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If Central Michigan scores more points, the 'Central Michigan wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the 'Tie 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Overtime periods are excluded from consideration. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individuals trading on Kalshi. If a significant number of traders believe one outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s current assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the collective believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, indicated by the order book, shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, giving traders insight into potential price movements and the strength of conviction behind various predictions. Volume and open interest are also key indicators of market activity.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team is winning at the conclusion of the 4th quarter of the Central Michigan vs Miami (FL) game. The result will be based on the official game statistics and final score as reported by a trusted sports data source. Trading will cease once the outcome is known and verified, and contracts will be settled accordingly based on the winning team.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Central Michigan or Miami (FL) teams would likely cause price adjustments. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives or unexpected defensive performances, could also trigger substantial movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, might also influence trading activity. Public perception and any late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could further contribute to shifts in the odds as traders react to new information before Sep 27, 2026.