TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team will lead at the end of the first quarter in an upcoming college football game between Central Michigan and Miami (FL). It focuses solely on the scoring performance during the initial 15 minutes of play, ignoring the rest of the game. The outcome depends on whether Miami, Central Michigan, or neither team (in case of a tie) has the most points when the first quarter concludes.
If Miami (FL) wins the 1st quarter of the Central Michigan vs Miami (FL) college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Central Michigan wins the 1st quarter of the Central Michigan vs Miami (FL) college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the Central Michigan vs Miami (FL) college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to win the first quarter than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants contributing to this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – Central Michigan winning the first quarter or Miami (FL) winning the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, based on supply and demand for each contract.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first quarter of the Central Michigan vs Miami (FL) football game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source and will be reflected in the final payout for contracts held on Kalshi.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Central Michigan or Miami (FL) would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game and, therefore, the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of buy or sell orders on Kalshi – could also move the market, reflecting a change in overall sentiment about which team is favored to win the first quarter.