TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:16 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of a college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points needed to resolve as 'Yes', allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in the opening quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first quarter of play in the Central Michigan vs Miami (FL) college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Each individual market has a specific numerical threshold; if the combined first-quarter points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes', otherwise it resolves to 'No'.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price variations between the two types of markets. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders submit bids (prices they are willing to buy at) and asks (prices they are willing to sell at), and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current price represents the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the first quarter of the Central Michigan vs Miami (FL) football game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result. The resolution process is designed to be timely and accurate, providing a clear conclusion to this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Central Michigan or Miami (FL) would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team performance could also shift market sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, leading to price fluctuations in this market.