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404,028

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2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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61%

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Central Espanol FC vs. Liverpool Montevideo
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Central Espanol FC vs. Liverpool Montevideo?

Volume:
$306,589

Liverpool M

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 11:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Liverpool M

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$135,017
N/A
N/A
$68,077
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Liverpool Montevideo

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Central Espanol

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83,216
N/A
N/A
$50,014
Settled
No
polymarket

Central Espanol FC

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,822
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$69,113
N/A
N/A
$36,511
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Central Espanol FC vs. Liverpool Montevideo)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$929
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Central Espanol FC and Liverpool Montevideo, scheduled for September 27, 2026. Markets exist for Central Espanol FC winning, Liverpool Montevideo winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets share identical resolution criteria focusing on the 90-minute result and a consistent hierarchy of resolution sources.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the governing body (AUF.org.uy)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • A win for either team or a draw determines the resolution of the respective markets.
  • Postponement extends market life until completion; cancellation resolves win/loss to 'No' and draw to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be considered.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, contingent on the availability of official data, or within the fallback data source timelines.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game, scheduled for Sunday, September 27, 2026 between Central Espanol FC and Liverpool Montevideo.

Kalshi

The event involves determining the winner of a professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match scheduled for September 27, 2026, between Central Espanol and Liverpool M. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: Central Espanol win, Liverpool M win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbooks must account for profit margins and potential biases. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market incorporates the insights of a diverse crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, market efficiency, and the incentives of each platform. However, significant differences can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and risk tolerance. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, different platforms may have varying limits on trade sizes or withdrawal fees, impacting how traders position themselves in this market. These nuances contribute to the observed price differences.