Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC
Volume:
$459,767
Markets
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional A-League soccer match between Central Coast Mariners FC and Western Sydney Wanderers FC scheduled for February 22, 2026. The markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Central Coast win, a Western Sydney win, or a draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
Polymarket's draw market explicitly resolves YES upon full game cancellation with no make-up, while Kalshi's tie market lacks explicit cancellation language and likely follows standard void/no-action convention, creating conflicting settlement outcomes for that edge case.
Hero Tip:
Confirm Kalshi's cancellation resolution policy in writing before the match date. If the game is canceled with no reschedule, expect Polymarket draw to resolve YES and Kalshi tie to resolve NO or void—plan hedges accordingly.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Mariners win YES/NO, Wanderers win YES/NO, draw YES/NO). All three markets remain open if postponed until completion. Draw market uniquely resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. All outcomes based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Tie, Central Coast, Western Sydney) each resolve YES only if that specific outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data. Standard sports betting convention implies canceled games resolve as void or no-action. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins...after 90 minutes plus stoppage time...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.