TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC - More Markets
Volume:
$60,974
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group comprises eight interconnected markets covering a single Australia A-League match between Central Coast Mariners FC and Perth Glory FC scheduled for April 4, 2:00 AM ET. The markets span spread betting (goal-margin thresholds), total goals over/under, and both-teams-to-score outcomes, all resolving to the official final score from a-league.com.au within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different spread thresholds and market structures. Polymarket offers spread markets at -1.5, -2.5 thresholds with binary outcomes, while Kalshi structures its markets as conditional Yes/No propositions based on margin thresholds, creating different settlement mechanics despite referencing the same underlying event.Hero Tip:
If you trade spread markets, note that Polymarket's -1.5 spread (win by 2+ goals) and Kalshi's 1.5-goal margin market are NOT identical — Kalshi's conditional structure may resolve differently in edge cases near the threshold. Verify your platform's exact margin definition before settling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket uses binary spread markets with explicit goal-margin thresholds (-1.5 means win by 2+ goals, -2.5 means win by 3+ goals). Each spread market resolves to one of two outcomes: the favored team or the opposing team. Resolution is based on 'official final score published on a-league.com.au' within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with a 2-hour window for official statistics before falling back to credible reporting consensus.
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi structures margin markets as conditional Yes/No propositions ('If [Team] wins by more than [X] goals, then resolves Yes'). The market implicitly resolves No if the condition is not met, creating a different logical framework than Polymarket's binary team-outcome spreads. Kalshi references 'the Central Coast vs Perth professional A-League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time' but does not specify a fallback source or 2-hour window for official statistics.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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