TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional A-League soccer match between Central Coast Mariners FC and Newcastle United Jets FC scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span spread betting (point differentials), over/under total goals, and both-teams-to-score outcomes, with consistent resolution tied to official final scores after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the official A-League source (a-league.com.au), the 90-minute-plus-stoppage-time scope, and the 50-50 cancellation fallback. All threshold definitions are mathematically consistent across platforms.
Primary resolution logic:
Official final score published on a-league.com.auCore resolution logic:
- Spread markets (Newcastle -1.5, Newcastle -2.5, Central Coast -1.5, Central Coast -2.5) resolve based on goal differential: Newcastle -1.5 YES if Newcastle wins by 2+; Newcastle -2.5 YES if Newcastle wins by 3+; Central Coast -1.5 YES if Central Coast wins by 2+; Central Coast -2.5 YES if Central Coast wins by 3+.
- Over/Under markets (O/U 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) resolve based on combined total goals: O/U 1.5 Over if 2+ goals; O/U 2.5 Over if 3+ goals; O/U 3.5 Over if 4+ goals; O/U 4.5 Over if 5+ goals.
- Both Teams to Score resolves YES if both teams each score at least one goal; NO if either team scores zero.
- Resolution scope is strictly the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the final score of the rescheduled match.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split evenly between Yes and No outcomes).
- Incomplete Match: If the match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned mid-play), Polymarket and Kalshi both specify resolution according to the official final score published on a-league.com.au at that point. This is treated as the official result.
- Extra Time and Penalties: Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution scope. Only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time count.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the official final score is published on a-league.com.au following the completion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 28, 2026 (or the rescheduled date if postponed).Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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