TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC
polymarket
kalshi

Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC

Volume:
$120,744

Draw (Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC)

 - Polymarket

Draw (Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 28, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 1:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Newcastle United Jets FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,692
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Central Coast Mariners FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Newcastle wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,123
N/A
N/A
$6,863
Settled
No
kalshi

Central Coast wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$861
N/A
N/A
$458
Settled
No
kalshi

Newcastle wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$662
N/A
N/A
$661
Settled
No
kalshi

Central Coast wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a professional A-League soccer match between Central Coast Mariners FC (home) and Newcastle United Jets FC (away) scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss) and margin-of-victory thresholds across two prediction platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on cancellation handling. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES if canceled (no make-up), while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi margin markets omit cancellation clauses entirely, creating settlement ambiguity.Hero tip: Assume Kalshi margin markets remain open until the game is played or officially canceled by the league. Polymarket traders should note the asymmetric cancellation logic: backing the draw provides YES resolution on cancellation, while backing either team provides NO. Verify with Kalshi whether canceled games default to NO or remain unresolved.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Mariners win, draw, Jets win) all reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps markets open; full cancellation with no make-up resolves win markets to NO but draw market to YES. Key Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' while win markets state 'this market will resolve No.'
  • Kalshi: Four margin-of-victory markets (Newcastle >2.5, Newcastle >1.5, Central Coast >2.5, Central Coast >1.5 goals) tied to the same Feb 28, 2026 match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit postponement or cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Newcastle wins by more than X goals... then the market resolves to Yes' with no fallback language.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.