TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC
Volume:
$120,744
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional A-League soccer match between Central Coast Mariners FC (home) and Newcastle United Jets FC (away) scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss) and margin-of-victory thresholds across two prediction platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on cancellation handling. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES if canceled (no make-up), while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi margin markets omit cancellation clauses entirely, creating settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Assume Kalshi margin markets remain open until the game is played or officially canceled by the league. Polymarket traders should note the asymmetric cancellation logic: backing the draw provides YES resolution on cancellation, while backing either team provides NO. Verify with Kalshi whether canceled games default to NO or remain unresolved.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Mariners win, draw, Jets win) all reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps markets open; full cancellation with no make-up resolves win markets to NO but draw market to YES. Key Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' while win markets state 'this market will resolve No.'
- Kalshi: Four margin-of-victory markets (Newcastle >2.5, Newcastle >1.5, Central Coast >2.5, Central Coast >1.5 goals) tied to the same Feb 28, 2026 match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit postponement or cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Newcastle wins by more than X goals... then the market resolves to Yes' with no fallback language.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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