TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team might win over the other. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that determines the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Central Arkansas vs Southeast Missouri St. college football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. If Southeast Missouri St. wins by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding 'Yes' outcome settles; otherwise, it settles 'No'. If Central Arkansas wins by the required margin, the relevant market resolves 'Yes'. Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original schedule keep markets open for resolution per the actual result. Games not starting within this window resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Typically, you'll find that prediction markets are more efficient at incorporating new information quickly, potentially leading to odds that diverge from sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches. It’s common to see differences in the perceived probability of various outcomes between this market and traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads in the Central Arkansas vs Southeast Missouri St. game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely outcome. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders expressing their beliefs through their buy and sell orders.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Central Arkansas vs Southeast Missouri St. game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Central Arkansas or Southeast Missouri St. teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.