TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
Volume:
$904,722
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Central Arkansas Bears and Florida Gulf Coast Eagles scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), spread (-1.5 for Central Arkansas), and over/under total (151.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both a Central Arkansas win and a Florida Gulf Coast win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline for this game. The resolution logic is self-contradictory and cannot be enforced. Use Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets instead, which have clear, mutually exclusive outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three distinct markets with unified logic: Moneyline resolves to winning team name (Central Arkansas Bears or Florida Gulf Coast Eagles); Spread resolves to Central Arkansas if they win by 2+ points, otherwise Florida Gulf Coast; Over/Under resolves to Over if combined score is 152+, otherwise Under. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA.com. Final score includes overtime.
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Central Arkansas wins...resolves to Yes. If Florida Gulf Coast wins...resolves to Yes.' Both possible outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating a logical impossibility for a binary market. No clear resolution path exists.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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