TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Central Arkansas Bears vs. Bellarmine Knights (W)
kalshi
polymarket

Central Arkansas Bears vs. Bellarmine Knights (W)

Volume:
$13,222

Central Arkansas

 - Kalshi

Central Arkansas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Central Arkansas at Bellarmine Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Central Arkansas

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$2,309
$3,674
0%
0%
$3,674
N/A
polymarket

Central Arkansas Bears vs. Bellarmine Knights (W)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$593
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Bellarmine

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$9,837
$8,955
0%
0%
$7,885
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Central Arkansas Bears and Bellarmine Knights scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory—both possible outcomes (Central Arkansas win and Bellarmine win) are stated to resolve to Yes, which violates binary market logic. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution (winner name). These incompatible structures make cross-platform arbitrage impossible and suggest a critical documentation or platform error on Kalshi.Hero tip: Do not trade this group across platforms until Kalshi's logic is clarified. The Kalshi market as documented cannot function (both outcomes cannot resolve identically). Verify with Kalshi support whether this is a documentation error, a true Yes/Yes structure, or a missing No outcome. Polymarket's logic is sound and standard.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both Central Arkansas win and Bellarmine win resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility for a binary market. Key Quote: 'If Central Arkansas wins...resolves to Yes. If Bellarmine wins...resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Categorical resolution: Central Arkansas win resolves to 'Central Arkansas Bears', Bellarmine win resolves to 'Bellarmine Knights'. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Key Quote: 'If the Central Arkansas Bears win, the market will resolve to Central Arkansas Bears. If the Bellarmine Knights win, the market will resolve to Bellarmine Knights.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.