TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an international soccer qualifier between the Central African Republic and Burkina Faso, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other in this competitive match.
The event evaluates four distinct scoring margin conditions in the Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso AFCON Qualifiers game scheduled for September 28, 2026. All resolutions are based solely on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty phases are excluded. If the Central African Republic wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves affirmatively. Similarly, a Central African Republic victory by more than 1.5 goals triggers its respective market. Conversely, Burkina Faso victories by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals each activate their individual markets. The structure allows participants to assess varying degrees of dominance by either side within normal match time. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a ‘vig’ or commission. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. This can lead to odds that reflect a more accurate probability assessment, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk appetites. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which drives price discovery. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information efficiently and provide a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso match. Any official postponements or cancellations will be reflected in the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final, verified result of the match.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected weather conditions, if they impact the match location or playing style, could also move the market. Furthermore, any public statements from key players or analysts offering strong opinions on the match outcome could sway trader sentiment and influence the price of contracts within this market.