TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an international soccer qualifier between two national teams. The result is determined by which team secures a victory within the standard match duration, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. A draw also has a specific resolution condition.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer match between Central African Republic and Burkina Faso scheduled for September 28, 2026. A victory for either Central African Republic or Burkina Faso within 90 minutes plus stoppage time (but not extra time or penalties) resolves the respective market to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers the standard match duration, with no account for post-regulation proceedings.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can express that view through their trading activity, causing the prediction market odds to diverge. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information becomes available and influences traders’ assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates how easily the price can move in response to new information or trading activity. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso match as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final result. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and fairness for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact traders’ expectations. Significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or analyst predictions, might also lead to adjustments in the market price. Furthermore, large-volume trades by individual participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and events will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Sep 28, 2026 resolution.