TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming Europa League soccer match between Celtic and Ferencvarosi. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond the opponent, reflecting the competitive balance and expected performance of both clubs. Outcomes are determined by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios for the Celtic vs Ferencvarosi Europa League match scheduled for September 17, 2026. All outcomes are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. Four distinct market conditions are considered: Celtic winning by more than 2.5 goals, Celtic winning by more than 1.5 goals, Ferencvarosi winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each condition resolves to 'Yes' if achieved, with all markets otherwise resolving to 'No'. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time information and the opinions of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes the value lies, compared to professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changes in expectations surrounding the Celtic vs Ferencvarosi match.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of goals scored in the Celtic vs Ferencvarosi match. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine which contracts payout and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 18, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Celtic or Ferencvarosi would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to suspensions or player availability could also lead to shifts in the market, as traders adjust their expectations for the final spread in the Celtic vs Ferencvarosi match.