TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 5:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Celtic and Aberdeen, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The match is governed by standard soccer rules, with the final score determined after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time.
The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of the Celtic vs Aberdeen professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for September 2, 2026. Four distinct markets are considered, each defining a specific winning margin for either team. If Celtic wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Celtic wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not exceeding 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Aberdeen wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if Aberdeen wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Only one of these markets can resolve to Yes, depending on the actual goal differential. The resolution occurs after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the Governing League, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytical models and historical data, prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from participants, capturing crowd-sourced expectations and sentiment. This can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on trader confidence, public hype, and recent team performance. Comparing both can reveal where the market believes the true probability of outcomes lies versus institutional forecasts.
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be compared to the stated spread to determine which side of the market was correct. No additional criteria or complex calculations are involved — the result is based solely on the officially recorded match result.
Injuries to key players, changes in team form, managerial tactics, and even weather conditions could shift this market as the match nears. Strong recent performances or controversies surrounding either team may also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage and expert analysis leading up to the game often drive volume spikes and price adjustments, especially if new information suggests a higher or lower likelihood of a particular spread outcome.