TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Ferencvarosi
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 17, 2026
Closed: Sep 17, 4:56 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks the probability of Ferencvárosi TC winning their Europa League soccer match against Celtic FC on September 17, 2026. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi gives Ferencvárosi TC a 100.0% chance of winning. This market will resolve based on whether Celtic wins the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the outcome of the Celtic vs Ferencvarosi professional Europa League soccer game, per the resolution source. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 17, 2026, to see if Ferencvárosi TC secures a victory.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: The win/loss markets on Polymarket only resolve on a win for the specified team, while Kalshi also resolves 'Yes' on a draw. Additionally, Kalshi includes a 'Yes' resolution for a tie in its own dedicated market.Hero tip: Consider the implications of a draw when trading on these markets. Kalshi's 'Celtic Wins' market will resolve 'Yes' on a draw, while Polymarket's will resolve 'No'.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Markets resolve 'Yes' only if the specified team wins. If the game is canceled, the market resolves 'No'.
- Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if the specified team wins *or* if the game ends in a draw. Kalshi also has a separate market specifically for a draw.
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, September 17, 2026 between Celtic FC and Ferencvárosi TC.
Kalshi
If Celtic wins the Celtic vs Ferencvarosi professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Ferencvarosi wins the Celtic vs Ferencvarosi professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Celtic vs Ferencvarosi professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if both Celtic and Ferencvarosi TC score at least one goal each during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the UEFA Europa League match scheduled for September 17, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Celtic vs. Ferencvárosi match can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading limits, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, information flow and interpretation can vary between the two venues. For example, news about player injuries or team form might be incorporated more quickly or differently on one platform versus the other. These subtle differences in market dynamics can lead to discrepancies in the perceived probabilities of the various outcomes in this market.
