TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 2:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in Spain's La Liga 2. The result will be determined by the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The event covers three possible outcomes based on which team wins or if the game ends in a draw.
The event covers a professional La Liga 2 soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026, between Celta Fortuna and Sabadell. The market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Celta Fortuna, a win for Sabadell, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve at a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different assessment of probabilities. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to dynamic price movements. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Celta Fortuna vs Sabadell match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The exact details of the resolution process are outlined on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 26, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price movements.