TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess whether either Ceara or Londrina secures a victory by a margin exceeding a specified number of goals during the standard 90-minute regulation time, excluding extra time or penalties.
The markets evaluate whether Ceara wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or whether Londrina wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, in the Ceara vs Londrina professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game scheduled for August 22, 2026. The outcome is determined exclusively by the goal differential after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with no inclusion of extra time or penalty phases. A market resolves to Yes only if the winning team’s victory margin strictly exceeds the specified threshold (1.5 or 2.5 goals). If the margin is equal to or less than the threshold, the market resolves to No. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and market dynamics. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and historical data, this market allows participants to bet on their own assessments of the likely spread, potentially offering sharper or differently priced opportunities.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent possible spread outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective view of participants about how many points Ceara might win by—or if Londrina could pull off an upset—based on available information and shifting expectations leading up to the game.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result will be determined by the official match score and any adjustments, such as point differentials or overtime rules, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders can monitor updates leading up to the resolution date to assess how likely outcomes are shaping up, with the market settling based on confirmed data after the game concludes.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or significant form swings in the days before the match could all shift this market. Additionally, any new betting trends or large trades on Kalshi may cause price adjustments, reflecting evolving trader confidence in the likely point differential between the two teams.