TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 9:25 PM EST
Kalshi
Ceara and Athletic Club Sjdr compete in a Brasileiro Serie B professional soccer match on July 13, 2026. The result is determined by the score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalty kicks.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Ceara vs Athletic Club Sjdr professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for July 13, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The match has three possible outcomes: a Ceara victory, an Athletic Club Sjdr victory, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. On this market, odds adjust continuously as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. Sportsbooks typically build in a vigorish and may move more slowly, whereas prediction markets respond instantly to breaking news, team updates, or betting flow. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value differently than professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the probability traders assign to that result, ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents. As fresh information surfaces or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their orders, and the price updates in real time. This decentralized pricing model ensures the odds stay responsive to new developments right up until the match concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 14, 2026, once the match concludes and the final result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result—whether it ends in a win, loss, or draw for either side. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to see their positions settled promptly. No further action is required from you; the platform handles verification and payout automatically.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes that alter perceived match balance. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form streaks can also shift trader sentiment significantly. Pre-match press conferences and official team statements often trigger sharp price moves as new information becomes public. Additionally, early match action—goals, red cards, or momentum swings—will drive rapid repricing as traders update their probability estimates in real time.