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399,592

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Ceará SC vs. SC Recife
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Ceará SC vs. SC Recife?

Volume:
$127,853

Ceará SC

 - Polymarket

Ceará SC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 10:05 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ceará SC

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$49,092
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,660
N/A
N/A
$11,703
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,444
N/A
N/A
$12,113
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,486
N/A
N/A
$8,707
Settled
Yes
polymarket

SC Recife

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,041
N/A
N/A
$3,335
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$817
N/A
N/A
$779
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$815
N/A
N/A
$815
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Ceará SC vs. SC Recife)

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This group covers various outcomes for a Brazilian Serie B soccer match between Ceará SC and SC Recife scheduled for September 5, 2026. Markets include win/draw/loss predictions, and over/under goal totals.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket focuses on match outcome (win/draw/loss) while Kalshi focuses on total goals scored, with differing cancellation rules for Polymarket's draw market.Hero tip: Trade Polymarket markets separately from Kalshi markets due to differing scopes and resolution criteria. Pay close attention to Polymarket's cancellation rules for the draw market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers markets on win/draw/loss and draw. Resolves based on 90 minutes + stoppage time, using official stats, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus. Cancellation resolves 'No' for win/loss, 'Yes' for draw.
  • Kalshi: Offers markets on over/under goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5). Resolves based on 90 minutes + stoppage time, using official statistics.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 between Ceará SC and SC Recife.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the total goals scored in the Ceara vs Sport Recife Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are explicitly excluded from consideration. Each market has a specific threshold: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals meet or exceed the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The governing body's official result, as recognized by the league, will determine resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets incorporate the wisdom of the crowd. This means that prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate, particularly when there is significant public interest and debate surrounding an event. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing due to their ability to hedge bets and manage risk. It’s valuable to compare both to make informed decisions.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Differences in market design, such as the types of contracts offered or margin requirements, also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing interpretations of available information about the Ceará SC vs. SC Recife match, or varying levels of risk appetite among traders on each platform, can lead to distinct probabilities being reflected in the prices. These differences present opportunities for arbitrage.