TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 7:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Ceará SC and Athletic Club, scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ceará SC" if Ceará SC score more goals than Athletic Club in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Ceará SC and Athletic Club score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Athletic Club" if Athletic Club score more goals than Ceará SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Ceará SC and Athletic Club, scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ceará SC" if Ceará SC score more goals than Athletic Club in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Ceará SC and Athletic Club score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Athletic Club" if Athletic Club score more goals than Ceará SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader supply and demand. On this market, the odds you see represent what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, unfiltered by a bookmaker's margin. Sportsbooks may lag behind breaking news or sharp action, whereas prediction markets typically price in new information faster. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from professional oddsmaking.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of this market through an automated market maker (AMM) and peer-to-peer order matching. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome share trades independently, and the price you see reflects the current ratio of buy and sell orders in the liquidity pool. As more traders back one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome falls. You can enter or exit your position at any time before market close by accepting the current quoted price or placing a limit order. The system ensures transparent, continuous pricing throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, once the second half of the Ceará versus Athletic Club match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on which team scores more goals in the second half alone. Early resolution is possible if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window. Traders should monitor official match schedules and any league announcements that could affect timing. Final confirmation typically occurs within hours of the full-time whistle.
Several factors can shift odds before the match kicks off and during the first half. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—often triggers sharp repricing. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form can influence trader confidence in either side's second-half performance. Once the match begins, first-half scoreline, momentum swings, and substitutions will drive significant movement. Red cards, injuries sustained early, or unexpected tactical adjustments mid-match can all reshape expectations for the second-half outcome. Live match data and social sentiment typically accelerate price changes as new information emerges.