TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 7:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Ceará SC and Athletic Club, scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Ceará SC vs. Athletic Club match originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Ceará SC and Athletic Club, scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Ceará SC vs. Athletic Club match originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader belief and real-money consensus. For exact-score markets like this one, sportsbooks typically offer limited exact-score betting with wider margins, whereas prediction markets allow granular pricing on every possible outcome. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market sees value that bookmakers may have mispriced.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact-score outcome through an automated market maker, where buying or selling shares directly moves the odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each possible final score has its own contract, and the probability of any outcome equals its current price. As traders place bets based on team form, injury news, and tactical expectations, the odds adjust in real time. The top-backed outcome currently reflects strong conviction, though all scorelines remain tradable until the match concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, once the Ceará SC vs. Athletic Club match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals scored by each team during regulation time. No ambiguity exists—only one exact scoreline will be correct, and all other contracts expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to settle positions quickly.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form trends. Weather conditions on match day, head-to-head history, and tactical adjustments by either manager can shift trader expectations. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking developments—such as a surprise starting XI or unexpected absences—often trigger sharp moves in exact-score odds. Live trading during the match itself will also reshape probabilities as goals are scored, making early positions more or less valuable as the game unfolds.