TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 7:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the specific round in which either fighter wins the match through decisive methods such as knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification. It also covers outcomes where the fight ends in a decision, draw, or no contest across all rounds of the scheduled bout.
The event resolves based on the round in which either CE Liu or Levi Rodrigues Jr. secures a victory via knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), submission, or disqualification during their scheduled UFC Fight Night match on August 29, 2026. If either fighter achieves one of these outcomes in Round 1, Round 2, or Round 3, the corresponding market for that fighter and round resolves to Yes. Should the fight conclude by decision, draw, or no contest — including technical decisions — the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” market resolves to Yes, and no round-specific win markets are triggered. Technical decisions are explicitly treated as decisions for settlement purposes and do not count toward a round victory. The fight must be the one originally scheduled for the specified date to apply to these rules.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through continuous bidding and asking, driving the current implied probability for each possible round of victory. The top outcome’s chance reflects the collective assessment of participants about CE Liu’s performance timing, with market depth and liquidity influencing how quickly prices adjust to new information.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact round in which CE Liu claims victory will end this market, based on official fight records and widely accepted sports news sources that confirm the result post-event.
Key signals such as pre-fight media appearances, training updates, injury reports, and betting volume spikes can all shift this market. Analysts’ predictions, changes in fighter rankings, and any last-minute changes to fight strategy or conditions may also cause traders to adjust their positions, influencing the implied probabilities for each round of victory as the event draws nearer.