TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 9:28 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between CDT RealOruro and Club Independiente Petrolero, scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CDT RealOruro" if CDT RealOruro score more goals than Club Independiente Petrolero in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CDT RealOruro and Club Independiente Petrolero score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Independiente Petrolero" if Club Independiente Petrolero score more goals than CDT RealOruro in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between CDT RealOruro and Club Independiente Petrolero, scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CDT RealOruro" if CDT RealOruro score more goals than Club Independiente Petrolero in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CDT RealOruro and Club Independiente Petrolero score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Independiente Petrolero" if Club Independiente Petrolero score more goals than CDT RealOruro in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money skin-in-the-game. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient at incorporating new information quickly, especially for niche events. However, sportsbooks may have tighter spreads due to higher liquidity. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market sees value or where sharp bettors are positioning themselves.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and trader positions. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative bets placed by participants, with larger positions moving the odds more dramatically. As traders buy or sell shares representing different second-half results, the platform's algorithm recalibrates the implied probability in real time. This mechanism ensures continuous pricing and allows participants to enter or exit positions throughout the trading period.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded for the second half only, independent of the first-half scoreline. Resolution hinges on confirmation from recognized sports data providers or official league records. Traders should monitor the match schedule and any postponements or rescheduling announcements that could affect the resolution timeline.
Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff. Tactical adjustments or managerial decisions revealed in pre-match press conferences can shift trader expectations. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and recent form or head-to-head records may also influence positioning. Once the first half concludes, the halftime scoreline and momentum swings become major signals—a team trailing heavily may face longer odds for a second-half comeback, while a leading team's defensive posture could tighten the market. Live betting sentiment during the first half often bleeds into second-half pricing.