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CDT Real Oruro vs. FC Universitario
kalshi
polymarket

CDT Real Oruro vs. FC Universitario

Volume:
$1,227

CDT Real Oruro

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: May 9, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

CDT Real Oruro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cdt Real Oruro

View
49%
Yes 49¢No 51¢
56¢
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
kalshi

Cdt Real Oruro

View
54%
Yes 54¢No 46¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Universitario de Vinto

View
29%
Yes 29¢No 71¢
53¢
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Universitario

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Universitario de Vinto

View
25%
Yes 25¢No 75¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
22%
Yes 22¢No 78¢
48¢
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CDT Real Oruro vs. FC Universitario)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$288
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
21%
Yes 21¢No 79¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group covers two professional Bolivia Premier Division soccer matches between CDT Real Oruro and FC Universitario (also referred to as Universitario de Vinto), scheduled for May 9, 2026 and June 6, 2026. Markets assess the outcome of these matches within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure contains a logical contradiction: all six resolution conditions resolve to Yes, making the market a tautology that cannot function as a prediction instrument. Polymarket correctly structures individual match outcomes with proper Yes/No binary logic. Additionally, the two platforms cover different match dates and have conflicting cancellation rules.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is fundamentally unresolvable due to logical design failure. Do not trade on Kalshi. Use Polymarket's three separate May 9, 2026 markets (CDT win, draw, Universitario win) which have proper binary resolution logic and clear cancellation handling. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether this was intended as three separate markets per date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets for May 9, 2026 match only: (1) FC Universitario win resolves Yes/No, (2) Draw resolves Yes/No, (3) CDT Real Oruro win resolves Yes/No. Cancellation with no make-up: Win markets resolve No, Draw market resolves Yes. Postponement: market remains open. Resolution source: official LFPB statistics within 2 hours or credible consensus. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.'
  • Kalshi: Single aggregated market covering both May 9 and June 6, 2026 matches. All six conditions (CDT win, tie, Universitario win on each date) resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility: the market resolves Yes regardless of match outcome. No cancellation or postponement rules specified. Key Quote: 'If [any outcome] occurs... then the market resolves to Yes' (all six conditions identical in resolution).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between CDT Real Oruro and FC Universitario.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the Bolivia Premier Division match scheduled for June 6, 2026. Extra time and penalties are excluded from consideration. If the match ends in a draw, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.