TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CDP Junior FC vs. Alianza FC
Volume:
$147,903
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between CDP Junior FC and Alianza FC scheduled for March 5, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Alianza win, draw, CDP Junior win) and Kalshi (one three-way outcome market covering all possible results).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Junior win, Alianza win, Tie) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with consistent logic.Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets are logically sound and resolvable. Kalshi's three-way market is unresolvable due to contradictory resolution criteria. Trade only on Polymarket. Be aware that if the match is canceled with no makeup game, the Draw market resolves YES while both win markets resolve NO.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets with consistent resolution logic. Each market resolves based on official dimayor.com.co statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. Cancellation without makeup: Alianza and CDP Junior win markets resolve NO; Draw market resolves YES. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Single three-way categorical market with logical contradiction. Resolution criteria state: 'If Junior wins... resolves to Yes. If Alianza wins... resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible as only one outcome can occur. Market is unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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