TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CDP Junior FC vs. Alianza FC
polymarket
kalshi

CDP Junior FC vs. Alianza FC

Volume:
$147,903

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 6, 2026

Closed: Mar 5, 11:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,745
N/A
N/A
$7,706
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (CDP Junior FC vs. Alianza FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$456
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Junior

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82,602
N/A
N/A
$64,540
Settled
No
polymarket

CDP Junior FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alianza FC Valledupar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,064
N/A
N/A
$25,330
Settled
No
polymarket

Alianza FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between CDP Junior FC and Alianza FC scheduled for March 5, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Alianza win, draw, CDP Junior win) and Kalshi (one three-way outcome market covering all possible results).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Junior win, Alianza win, Tie) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with consistent logic.Hero tip: Polymarket markets are logically sound and resolvable. Kalshi's three-way market is unresolvable due to contradictory resolution criteria. Trade only on Polymarket. Be aware that if the match is canceled with no makeup game, the Draw market resolves YES while both win markets resolve NO.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three independent binary markets with consistent resolution logic. Each market resolves based on official dimayor.com.co statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. Cancellation without makeup: Alianza and CDP Junior win markets resolve NO; Draw market resolves YES. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single three-way categorical market with logical contradiction. Resolution criteria state: 'If Junior wins... resolves to Yes. If Alianza wins... resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible as only one outcome can occur. Market is unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.