TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 12:07 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chile Primera game between CD Universidad de Concepción and Audax CS Italiano, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Universidad de Concepción" if CD Universidad de Concepción score more goals than Audax CS Italiano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CD Universidad de Concepción and Audax CS Italiano score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Audax CS Italiano" if Audax CS Italiano score more goals than CD Universidad de Concepción in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chile Primera game between CD Universidad de Concepción and Audax CS Italiano, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Universidad de Concepción" if CD Universidad de Concepción score more goals than Audax CS Italiano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CD Universidad de Concepción and Audax CS Italiano score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Audax CS Italiano" if Audax CS Italiano score more goals than CD Universidad de Concepción in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money stakes. This market's odds may move faster or slower than sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader activity. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional bettors and retail traders are aligned on the likely outcome, though prediction markets typically aggregate dispersed information efficiently over time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of shares held in the pool, with prices adjusting continuously as new trades occur. Traders profit by correctly predicting the second half result, and the market price converges toward the true probability as more information becomes available. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new developments.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the match between CD Universidad de Concepción and Audax CS Italiano concludes and the second half result is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second half period. Resolution occurs after the final whistle and official confirmation from credible public sources covering the Segunda División. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout once the result is confirmed and the market settles.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before Aug 1, 2026. Team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff often trigger sharp price moves. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage can influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and referee assignments may also affect expectations. As match time approaches, late-breaking developments—including betting syndicate activity or social media sentiment—can accelerate price movement. During the first half, actual play and scoreline will likely drive substantial repricing of second-half probabilities.