TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Chilean Liga de Primera Division soccer match between CD Universidad Católica and CD Palestino scheduled for April 2, 2026. Multiple prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are tracking the final outcome (win/loss/draw) based on 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution differs between platforms. Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation language and implies all outcomes resolve Yes. Polymarket explicitly differentiates: draw cancellation resolves Yes, but win/loss cancellations resolve No.Hero Tip:
Monitor for cancellation risk. If the match is canceled with no makeup game, expect Kalshi draw and Polymarket draw to both hit Yes, but Kalshi win markets to resolve Yes while Polymarket win markets resolve No. This creates a potential arbitrage or hedge opportunity depending on your position.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Three separate binary markets covering all possible outcomes (Palestino win, Tie, Universidad Católica win). All three resolve to Yes if their respective outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation clause provided; logic implies all outcomes are resolvable. Key Quote: 'then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Draw, Palestino win, Universidad Católica win). Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup. Win markets resolve No if canceled with no makeup. Postponement keeps markets open until completion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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