TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CD Unión La Calera vs. Everton de Viña del Mar
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of CD Unión La Calera vs. Everton de Viña del Mar?

Volume:
$651,326

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 9:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$188,330
N/A
N/A
$92,537
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (CD Unión La Calera vs. Everton de Viña del Mar)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,732
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Everton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$236,739
N/A
N/A
$117,262
Settled
No
polymarket

Everton de Viña del Mar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,338
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Union La Calera

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$180,776
N/A
N/A
$115,318
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Unión La Calera

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Chilean professional soccer match between CD Unión La Calera and Everton de Viña del Mar scheduled for July 24, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi shows a leading outcome of 100.0% for a draw. Resolution will be based on official results from https://anfp.cl/. The upcoming match on July 24, 2026, will determine the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi differ on cancellation resolution logic and market structure. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on full cancellation, while win markets resolve NO; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause and uses an omnibus three-outcome structure.Hero tip: Monitor ANFP official channels for any postponement or cancellation announcements. On Polymarket, the draw market has asymmetric payoff on cancellation (YES) compared to win markets (NO). Kalshi's lack of explicit cancellation guidance means traders should seek clarification from the platform before match day or assume standard sports market convention (no-play = void/cancel).

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: La Calera Win (YES if La Calera wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, YES if canceled with no make-up, NO otherwise), Everton Win (YES if Everton wins, NO otherwise). Resolution source is ANFP official statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Covers 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single omnibus market with three mutually exclusive outcomes: Union La Calera Win, Everton Win, or Tie. All three resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Covers Chile Liga de Primera professional match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Chile Primera game, scheduled for Friday, July 24, 2026 between CD Unión La Calera and Everton de Viña del Mar.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final score of the Union La Calera vs Everton professional Chile Liga de Primera soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each outcome—Union La Calera win, Everton win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the La Calera vs. Everton match across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds and consensus views on the match outcome. Both venues host identical or closely related markets where participants wager on which team will win. The cross-platform view helps you spot pricing differences and track how conviction shifts as the event approaches. Total trading volume across both platforms reflects the combined interest in this fixture, giving you a sense of market depth and engagement.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from live trader consensus—what participants collectively believe will happen. Prediction market odds often reflect sharper, more dynamic information because traders have direct financial incentive to price accurately. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate additional factors like injury reports or weather forecasts that traders haven't yet priced in. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception diverges from professional oddsmaking.

Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that alter perceived strength. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings can shift trader sentiment as the match date approaches. Weather conditions and venue factors may emerge closer to kickoff. Social media sentiment and expert commentary can also influence odds, especially if respected analysts highlight overlooked tactical advantages. Late-breaking roster updates or unexpected withdrawals often trigger sharp repricing. Monitor official team communications and sports news outlets for developments that could reshape this market's trajectory.