Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 23, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations across all three possible outcomes (San Antonio win, draw, Real Oruro win).
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers (LFPB - Liga de Fútbol Profesional Boliviana), with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
If San Antonio Bulo Bulo wins, the San Antonio win market resolves YES and the other two markets resolve NO.
If the match ends in a draw, the draw market resolves YES and the other two markets resolve NO.
If CDT Real Oruro wins, the Real Oruro win market resolves YES and the other two markets resolve NO.
Exactly ONE of the three markets will resolve YES; the other two will resolve NO.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the San Antonio win and Real Oruro win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played on a future date.
Match Cancellation Without Make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the draw market resolves YES while both team win markets resolve NO.
Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution uses official LFPB statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by LFPB or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion on April 23, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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