TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
CD Riestra vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
kalshi
polymarket

CD Riestra vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

Volume:
$55,297

Draw (CD Riestra vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 13, 2026

Closed: Mar 12, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (CD Riestra vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,270
N/A
N/A
$3,364
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CD Riestra

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Riestra

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,319
N/A
N/A
$4,297
Settled
No
kalshi

Mendoza

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,942
N/A
N/A
$10,173
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,752
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CD Riestra and CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The group includes markets for Riestra win, draw, and Mendoza win outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling divergence between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no makeup, while Kalshi's omnibus structure creates logical inconsistency where all three mutually exclusive outcomes would resolve YES simultaneously.Hero tip: Monitor AFA cancellation risk closely. On Polymarket, the draw market has embedded cancellation optionality (YES on cancel) versus win markets (NO on cancel). On Kalshi, the structure is ambiguous—confirm whether cancellation triggers YES for all outcomes or reverts to standard NO. Consider this when sizing positions and hedge accordingly.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets. Riestra Win and Mendoza Win resolve NO on cancellation with no makeup. Draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no makeup. All markets remain open if game is postponed. Core logic: 90 minutes regular play plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single omnibus market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (Riestra Win, Tie, Mendoza Win). All three outcomes resolve YES if their condition is met. Cancellation handling is not explicitly stated, creating ambiguity. Core logic: 90 minutes regular play plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.