TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CD Riestra vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Volume:
$55,297
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CD Riestra and CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The group includes markets for Riestra win, draw, and Mendoza win outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling divergence between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no makeup, while Kalshi's omnibus structure creates logical inconsistency where all three mutually exclusive outcomes would resolve YES simultaneously.Hero Tip:
Monitor AFA cancellation risk closely. On Polymarket, the draw market has embedded cancellation optionality (YES on cancel) versus win markets (NO on cancel). On Kalshi, the structure is ambiguous—confirm whether cancellation triggers YES for all outcomes or reverts to standard NO. Consider this when sizing positions and hedge accordingly.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets. Riestra Win and Mendoza Win resolve NO on cancellation with no makeup. Draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no makeup. All markets remain open if game is postponed. Core logic: 90 minutes regular play plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Single omnibus market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (Riestra Win, Tie, Mendoza Win). All three outcomes resolve YES if their condition is met. Cancellation handling is not explicitly stated, creating ambiguity. Core logic: 90 minutes regular play plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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