TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 7:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming soccer match between CD Recoleta and Nacional, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent, measured by specific goal differences. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential of the CD Recoleta vs Nacional professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for August 3, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: CD Recoleta winning by more than 2.5 goals, CD Recoleta winning by more than 1.5 goals, Nacional winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Nacional winning by more than 2.5 goals. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from consideration. If any of these specified conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent head-to-head performance can all shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, any significant developments in team form, weather conditions on the day of the match, or even broader league dynamics could cause rapid price adjustments leading up to Aug 4, 2026.