TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CD Recoleta vs Nacional: Spread
kalshi

CD Recoleta vs Nacional: Spread

Volume:
$148,085

Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 7:27 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52,265
N/A
N/A
$18,504
Settled
No
kalshi

Nacional wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,144
N/A
N/A
$22,769
Settled
No
kalshi

CD Recoleta wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,380
N/A
N/A
$14,237
Settled
No
kalshi

CD Recoleta wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,297
N/A
N/A
$11,396
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming soccer match between CD Recoleta and Nacional, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent, measured by specific goal differences. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential of the CD Recoleta vs Nacional professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for August 3, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: CD Recoleta winning by more than 2.5 goals, CD Recoleta winning by more than 1.5 goals, Nacional winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Nacional winning by more than 2.5 goals. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from consideration. If any of these specified conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result and goal differential, which will be compared against the market’s defined spread to settle all positions.

Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent head-to-head performance can all shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, any significant developments in team form, weather conditions on the day of the match, or even broader league dynamics could cause rapid price adjustments leading up to Aug 4, 2026.