TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 7:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between CD Recoleta and Cerro Porteno. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the CD Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for September 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: CD Recoleta win, Cerro Porteno win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after the standard match duration.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may set lines based on analytics and historical data, prediction markets reflect real-time trader sentiment and can shift more dynamically with new information or changing perceptions about team performance or conditions.
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result, which is compared against the contracts bought or sold by traders to settle all positions.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, weather conditions on the day of the match, or shifting rankings and recent form can all impact this market. Any news that alters perceptions of which team is more likely to win may cause traders to adjust their positions, moving the implied probabilities and overall volume as the event draws closer.