TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
CD Palestino (Chile) will face Montevideo City Torque (Uruguay) in a CONMEBOL Sudamericana match on April 14, 2026. The markets assess the three possible outcomes within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time: a Palestino win, a draw, or a Montevideo City Torque win. All markets reference official governing body statistics as the primary resolution source, with credible reporting consensus as a secondary fallback if official data is not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 14, 2026, using CONMEBOL/governing body statistics as the primary source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official CONMEBOL statistics and the event organizers' final match result; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.Core resolution logic:
- Polymarket market 1 (Palestino win) resolves YES if and only if CD Palestino wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
- Polymarket market 2 (Montevideo City win) resolves YES if and only if Montevideo City Torque wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
- Polymarket market 3 (Draw) resolves YES if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
- Kalshi markets 1, 2, and 3 resolve YES for Palestino win, Montevideo City win, and Tie (draw) respectively, using identical 90-minute-plus-stoppage-time logic.
- Exactly one outcome (Palestino win, Montevideo City win, or draw) will occur, and exactly one market per platform will resolve YES.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until completion. If canceled with no make-up, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's outcome-specific markets resolve based on the cancellation outcome (no explicit cancellation clause provided, implying standard no-play = no resolution or tie by default).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the game is completed. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation; standard practice would treat a canceled match as unresolvable or default to no-play outcome.
- Extra Time and Penalties: Both platforms explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts from resolution scope. Only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time outcome determines the result.
- Source Timing: Polymarket allows up to 2 hours post-match for official CONMEBOL statistics before falling back to credible reporting consensus. Kalshi does not specify a timing window but references the same official source.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official CONMEBOL/governing body publication of the final match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or upon credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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