Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 23, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from ANFP (Asociación Nacional de Fútbol Profesional) or consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
CD Palestino win market resolves YES if and only if CD Palestino wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
CD Concepción win market resolves YES if and only if CD Concepción wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
Draw market resolves YES if and only if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
Exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES (mutually exclusive outcomes).
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Palestino and Concepción win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the Palestino win and Concepción win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution uses official ANFP statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting.
Scope Limitation: All markets refer only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result by ANFP within 2 hours after match conclusion, or via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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