TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CD Palestino vs. CD Cobresal
Volume:
$38,012
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional soccer match between CD Palestino and CD Cobresal in Chile's Liga de Primera, scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (Palestino win, Cobresal win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a unique cancellation clause (resolves Yes if game canceled entirely) that does not apply to its win/loss markets or to Kalshi's markets, creating asymmetric settlement outcomes in a full-cancellation scenario.Hero Tip:
If the match is fully canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while its Palestino and Cobresal win markets resolve No. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance, leaving settlement ambiguous. Confirm with platform support before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Palestino win (Yes/No), Cobresal win (Yes/No), and Draw (Yes/No). All refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Unique feature: Draw market resolves Yes if game is canceled entirely with no make-up; Win/Loss markets resolve No in that scenario. Primary source is official ANFP statistics within 2 hours of conclusion, with credible reporting as fallback.
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcomes presented as a single event: Palestino win, Tie, or Cobresal win. All resolve Yes if their respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided; framework implies all three outcomes are exhaustive and mutually exclusive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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