TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 3:04 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CD Nacional and FC Famalicão, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Nacional" if CD Nacional are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Famalicão" if FC Famalicão are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between CD Nacional and FC Famalicão, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Nacional" if CD Nacional are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Famalicão" if FC Famalicão are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information or breaking news related to team form or potential injuries, something sportsbooks may be slower to incorporate into their pricing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available. The market's efficiency depends on active trading and the diversity of opinions represented.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the CD Nacional vs. FC Famalicão match. If no goal is scored during regulation time, the market will resolve as 'No Goal Scored'. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the first team to score, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either CD Nacional or FC Famalicão would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical changes announced by the managers, might prompt adjustments to the probabilities. Furthermore, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to movement in this market before Sep 19, 2026.