TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
CD Nacional vs. FC Alverca - More Markets
polymarket
kalshi
limitless

What is the result of CD Nacional vs. FC Alverca?

Volume:
$166,381

Alverca

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Limitless

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 12:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alverca

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$55,853
N/A
N/A
$41,529
Settled
Yes
limitless

Alverca

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-0.1¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Alverca (-1.5)

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$761
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,776
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,435
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,917
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 2.5

View
100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,816
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,771
N/A
N/A
$18,034
Settled
No
limitless

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nacional

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,389
N/A
N/A
$9,214
Settled
No
limitless

Nacional

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Nacional (-1.5)

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,057
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Alverca (-2.5)

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,998
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score in First Half

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Nacional (-2.5)

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CD Nacional O/U 0.5

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CD Nacional O/U 1.5

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CD Nacional O/U 2.5

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Alverca O/U 0.5

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 39

Description

This group covers various markets related to the CD Nacional vs. FC Alverca Primeira Liga soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026. Markets include win/draw/loss, spreads, over/under goals, and both teams to score. All markets primarily rely on official match data.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers more granular markets with a defined resolution source hierarchy, while Kalshi focuses on basic win/draw/loss outcomes.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket markets for more specific outcomes and understand the source hierarchy in case of data unavailability. Kalshi markets are simpler but lack the same level of detail.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves markets based on official final score from ligaportugal.pt, with fallback sources (Flashscore, Sofascore) and a 50/50 resolution for cancellations. Offers a wide variety of markets (spreads, O/U, BTTS).
  • Kalshi: Resolves win/draw/loss markets after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No defined fallback sources or cancellation resolution beyond the standard Kalshi rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the Primeira Liga game, scheduled for September 12 at 10:30 AM ET.

Kalshi

This event resolves based on the Nacional vs Alverca Liga Portugal soccer game set for September 12, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the named team wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; the Tie market resolves to Yes for a drawn match after regulation. Should the game be canceled or postponed beyond 48 hours, markets settle at a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootout results are irrelevant. Kalshi states no official connection to the league or its intellectual property.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 12, 2026, 14:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms of price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. Prediction markets, however, rely on the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. This dynamic process can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available and more volume is traded. This market’s odds reflect real-time sentiment and are driven by traders’ willingness to take the other side of a bet.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons, even when tracking the same event. Differences in user base, trading fees, and market-specific rules can all contribute to price discrepancies. For example, Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders with access to specialized information, while Kalshi may have a broader, less informed user base. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform impacts price discovery; a market with higher volume tends to have more stable and accurate odds. These factors can lead to differing probabilities for the same outcomes in this market.