TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 2:28 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between CD Nacional and CF Estrela da Amadora, scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CD Nacional vs. CF Estrela da Amadora match originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between CD Nacional and CF Estrela da Amadora, scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CD Nacional vs. CF Estrela da Amadora match originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often show sharper adjustments based on real-time trading activity and can diverge from sportsbook prices due to different liquidity and participant dynamics. While sportsbooks may set fixed odds based on broader models, this market allows for continuous price discovery. Traders on Polymarket react quickly to new data, which can lead to fluctuations not always mirrored by sportsbook operators. The comparison provides insight into how decentralized betting communities price the likelihood of specific scorelines differently from established sports betting firms.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively price this market by placing bets on possible exact scores, which moves the displayed probabilities. The current top outcome shows the scoreline with the highest chance according to market participants. Volume and recent trade activity also influence these prices, reflecting real-time adjustments as new information about team form or player availability emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact final score reported by official match records determines the winning outcome, closing all positions based on that verified result.
Several key signals could shift this market before Aug 30, 2026. Injuries to star players, changes in team management, or recent form during lead-up matches often influence trader expectations. Weather conditions on match day, disciplinary actions such as suspensions, and tactical decisions by coaches may also impact perceptions of likely outcomes. High trading volume in this market, especially around $1,598, can amplify price swings as sentiment shifts. Any unexpected developments — like last-minute lineup changes or pitch conditions — could cause rapid re-evaluation of probable scorelines among participants on Polymarket.