TOTAL VOLUME:

$148.3b

24H VOL:

$206,446,559

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,817,056,367

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,853,498,357

475,549

Markets across

35,554

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,812

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
CD Moquegua vs. CS Cienciano
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CD Moquegua vs. CS Cienciano?

Volume:
$884,516

Cienciano

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 3:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cienciano

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$502,135
N/A
N/A
$259,268
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CS Cienciano

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ucv Moquegua

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$221,443
N/A
N/A
$128,260
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Moquegua

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$135,113
N/A
N/A
$76,269
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CD Moquegua vs. CS Cienciano)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,963
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Liga 1 soccer match between CD Moquegua and CS Cienciano, specifically whether CD Moquegua will win on October 8, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of CD Moquegua winning is 10.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. The match result, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by https://liga1.pe/, will determine resolution. A 10.0% probability is also assigned to the match ending in a draw. Keep an eye on the official Liga 1 schedule confirmation as the October 8, 2026 date approaches to verify the match remains on its planned date.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms; Polymarket resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not specify resolution for cancellations.Hero tip: Consider the risk of a game cancellation, as Polymarket will resolve to 'No' while Kalshi may remain open or not resolve, potentially creating arbitrage opportunities or losses.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If canceled with no make-up game, resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of official sources (Liga1.pe, Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus).
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling; resolution is implied to depend on a completed game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Thursday, October 8, 2026 between CD Moquegua and CS Cienciano.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Ucv Moquegua vs Cienciano professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game scheduled for Oct 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Ucv Moquegua wins, the 'Ucv Moquegua' market resolves to Yes. If Cienciano wins, the 'Cienciano' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the CD Moquegua vs. CS Cienciano match. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $884,516, indicating significant interest in this contest. The consensus view, while dynamic, reflects traders’ assessments of each team’s likelihood of winning or drawing. This allows for a comprehensive view of expectations beyond any single prediction market. This market provides a unique opportunity to track sentiment and potential shifts in expectations leading up to the event.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources at play. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially when markets are liquid and have significant volume. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes be more readily available and offer different betting options. Both sources provide valuable information for those interested in the CD Moquegua vs. CS Cienciano match.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information advantages, leading to differing opinions reflected in the market prices. Trading volume also plays a role; Polymarket currently has a higher volume of $884,516, potentially leading to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, differing market-making strategies and fee structures between the platforms can contribute to price discrepancies for this market.