TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CD Moquegua and CD Comerciantes Unidos, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Moquegua" if CD Moquegua are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD Comerciantes Unidos" if CD Comerciantes Unidos are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between CD Moquegua and CD Comerciantes Unidos, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Moquegua" if CD Moquegua are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD Comerciantes Unidos" if CD Comerciantes Unidos are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and risk management, while this market reflects real-time consensus from thousands of independent traders. Prediction markets often react faster to breaking news—such as late team news or tactical shifts—because participants can trade instantly without waiting for a sportsbook to adjust its lines. Both venues aim to reflect true probability, but prediction markets typically show less house margin and greater responsiveness to new information.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares that represent each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief about the likelihood of CD Comerciantes Unidos or CD Moquegua scoring first. As new information surfaces—team news, weather, or betting flows—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. The market price at any moment represents the marginal trader's assessment of probability, creating a dynamic and transparent signal of where the prediction community stands.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the match concludes and the opening goal is verified. The outcome is confirmed through credible public reporting of the match result. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution happens automatically after the event is finalized and reported by established sports media sources, ensuring all participants see the same definitive result.
Several catalysts can shift odds before kickoff. Team news—such as injuries to key strikers or defensive players—often triggers sharp moves, as does confirmation of starting lineups. Weather conditions, pitch quality, or last-minute tactical announcements can also influence trader positioning. Betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market may signal new information. Close to match time, late-breaking developments like lineup surprises or unusual injury reports typically generate the most volatile repricing as traders reassess their edge.