TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 2:04 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between CD Marquense and CSD Municipal, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Marquense" if CD Marquense score more goals than CSD Municipal in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CD Marquense and CSD Municipal score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CSD Municipal" if CSD Municipal score more goals than CD Marquense in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between CD Marquense and CSD Municipal, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Marquense" if CD Marquense score more goals than CSD Municipal in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CD Marquense and CSD Municipal score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CSD Municipal" if CSD Municipal score more goals than CD Marquense in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from real-time trader consensus. This market may show different implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or as the event date approaches. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value, though sportsbook odds typically incorporate sharper professional analysis and tighter margins.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probability quotes. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1, where higher prices reflect stronger trader conviction. As traders buy or sell shares, the price adjusts dynamically to balance supply and demand. The current price directly represents the market's estimated probability of that outcome occurring, making it transparent and responsive to breaking news or shifting expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on the actual second-half result of the CD Marquense vs. CSD Municipal match, assessed against established match records and official sources. Traders should monitor the event closely as the date approaches, since any delays or postponements could affect settlement timing. Once the match concludes and the result is documented, the market will lock in and payouts will be distributed accordingly.
Several factors could shift odds significantly before Aug 2, 2026. Team news—such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers sharp price moves, as does confirmation of venue or weather conditions. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or unexpected betting activity can also sway the market. Closer to kickoff, any last-minute tactical announcements or social media sentiment spikes may accelerate repricing. Historical performance data and head-to-head records may be reassessed if new context emerges, so traders should stay alert to both official team communications and emerging betting patterns.