TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether FBC Melgar will win their match against CD Los Chankas scheduled for August 15, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for FBC Melgar winning stands at 91.5%, with CD Los Chankas drawing at 7.5%. Data comes from Limitless, Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion, and resolves using official match statistics from the Peruvian Football Federation. The key catalyst to watch is the match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on August 15, 2026.
This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Saturday, August 15, 2026 between CD Los Chankas and FBC Melgar.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Alaves vs Getafe professional La Liga soccer match scheduled for August 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for the Alaves market occurs if Alaves wins the match outright within regulation time. Conversely, a 'Yes' outcome for the Getafe market occurs if Getafe secures an outright win within the same timeframe. If the match concludes in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The markets exclusively consider results within regulation time and do not account for outcomes determined during extra time or penalty phases.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for August 15, 2026, 17:30 UTC. If the match is canceled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, this market will resolve based on the official data recorded at the time of cancellation. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than October 14, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market refers to the La Liga match between Alaves (ALA) and Getafe (GET), scheduled for 2026-08-15 17:30 UTC. - ALA: If Alaves wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - GET: If Getafe wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both ALA and GET options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge because of differences in user bases, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds. Additionally, varying fee structures and order-book depth influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, leading to temporary mismatches between the two venues.
Injuries, weather updates, or tactical changes can shift this market close to kickoff. Key moments like star-player availability or coaching decisions often trigger rapid odds adjustments. Traders will also watch for shifting momentum in pre-match polls and social sentiment, which can reflect evolving public expectations and move pricing on both Polymarket and Kalshi before the final whistle.