TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CD Limache vs. CD Ñublense
polymarket
kalshi

CD Limache vs. CD Ñublense

Volume:
$359,225

Deportes Limache

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 3, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 11:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Deportes Limache

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$107,786
N/A
N/A
$70,815
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CD Limache

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$78,148
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nublense

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$90,146
N/A
N/A
$40,165
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Ñublense

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,626
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,661
N/A
N/A
$35,624
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CD Limache vs. CD Ñublense)

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,858
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether CD Limache will win their soccer match against CD Ñublense on August 1, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of CD Limache winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. The resolution source for this market is the official ANFP website. Keep an eye on the match result following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as the resolution date is estimated for September 3, 2026, to allow for official confirmation of the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure divergence - Polymarket uses three separate binary outcomes while Kalshi uses a single market that resolves Yes for any outcomeHero tip: Kalshi market behaves differently: it will resolve Yes if either team wins OR if the match ends in a draw. Polymarket markets are binary for each specific outcome. This creates a fundamental divergence in payout structures.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will CD Limache win? Will it end in a draw? Will CD Ñublense win? Each resolves Yes/No based on specific outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves Yes if Deportes Limache wins, Nublense wins, OR if the match ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolves No only if the match is not played
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Chile Primera game, scheduled for Saturday, August 1, 2026 between CD Limache and CD Ñublense.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes for the Deportes Limache vs Nublense professional Chile Liga de Primera soccer match scheduled for September 2, 2026: Deportes Limache win, Nublense win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if its specific outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes,' and the win markets resolve to 'No.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event explicitly excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing strictly on the result within regular time plus stoppage time.