TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza
polymarket
kalshi

CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza

Volume:
$590,018

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 3, 2026

Closed: Apr 2, 6:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$174,317
N/A
N/A
$112,206
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75,856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Zaragoza

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142,509
N/A
N/A
$85,526
Settled
No
polymarket

Real Zaragoza

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,688
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Leganes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112,372
N/A
N/A
$63,776
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Leganés

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

CD Leganés and Real Zaragoza will compete in a La Liga 2 (second division) match on April 2, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. This is a standard league fixture where one team will win, lose, or draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Leganés win, draw, Zaragoza win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three markets that can ALL resolve YES simultaneously if their respective outcomes occur, creating a fundamental logical contradiction in how the group resolves.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets are equivalent across platforms. On Polymarket, betting all three outcomes guarantees exactly one winner. On Kalshi, all three markets resolve YES if any outcome occurs—meaning you cannot hedge by taking opposite positions across platforms. Clarify with each platform whether Kalshi's three markets are meant to be mutually exclusive or if they represent three separate binary propositions that can coexist.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures the event as three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Leganés win, draw, or Zaragoza win) will resolve YES and the other two resolve NO. Key quote: 'If CD Leganés wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (applied identically to all three markets, ensuring only one YES).
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three separate binary markets that each resolve YES if their named outcome occurs, with no mutual exclusivity constraint. All three can resolve YES simultaneously. Key quote: 'If Zaragoza wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Leganes wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.