TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza
Volume:
$590,018
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
CD Leganés and Real Zaragoza will compete in a La Liga 2 (second division) match on April 2, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. This is a standard league fixture where one team will win, lose, or draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Leganés win, draw, Zaragoza win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three markets that can ALL resolve YES simultaneously if their respective outcomes occur, creating a fundamental logical contradiction in how the group resolves.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets are equivalent across platforms. On Polymarket, betting all three outcomes guarantees exactly one winner. On Kalshi, all three markets resolve YES if any outcome occurs—meaning you cannot hedge by taking opposite positions across platforms. Clarify with each platform whether Kalshi's three markets are meant to be mutually exclusive or if they represent three separate binary propositions that can coexist.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures the event as three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Leganés win, draw, or Zaragoza win) will resolve YES and the other two resolve NO. Key quote: 'If CD Leganés wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (applied identically to all three markets, ensuring only one YES).
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three separate binary markets that each resolve YES if their named outcome occurs, with no mutual exclusivity constraint. All three can resolve YES simultaneously. Key quote: 'If Zaragoza wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Leganes wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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