TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 6:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CD Leganés and CD Castellón, scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Leganés" if CD Leganés are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD Castellón" if CD Castellón are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between CD Leganés and CD Castellón, scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Leganés" if CD Leganés are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD Castellón" if CD Castellón are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a considerable amount of volume is traded, as information and opinions converge within this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about which team will score first. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving collective prediction. The market's efficiency relies on informed traders and active participation to accurately assess the likelihood of each team scoring first.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the CD Leganés vs. CD Castellón match. If no goal is scored by either team, the market will resolve as ‘No Goal Scored’ – though this outcome is not currently represented in the market. The result will be determined by official match data and records, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Leganés or Castellón would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also sway traders’ opinions. Furthermore, any public statements from team managers or influential analysts offering predictions about the match could trigger increased volume and price movements in this market as traders react to the new information.