TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 7:03 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chile Primera game between CD La Serena and O'Higgins FC, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD La Serena" if CD La Serena score more goals than O'Higgins FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CD La Serena and O'Higgins FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "O'Higgins FC" if O'Higgins FC score more goals than CD La Serena in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chile Primera game between CD La Serena and O'Higgins FC, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD La Serena" if CD La Serena score more goals than O'Higgins FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CD La Serena and O'Higgins FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "O'Higgins FC" if O'Higgins FC score more goals than CD La Serena in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show materially different probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, particularly as new information surfaces. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue undervalues or overvalues a given outcome relative to the other.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on the volume and direction of trades. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing each possible outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls, creating a dynamic equilibrium that updates continuously until the market closes.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the second half result is final and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result recorded by the relevant football governing body. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares, and prices will fluctuate based on live match developments and incoming data that influence expectations about the final score.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff. During the second half itself, goals, red cards, and momentum swings will drive sharp repricing as traders update their beliefs in real time. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and any unexpected developments on the pitch can also trigger significant market movement. Early trading patterns and sharp money entering the market may signal where informed traders see value.