TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 3:58 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between CD Guastatoya and CD Malacateco, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CD Guastatoya vs. CD Malacateco match originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between CD Guastatoya and CD Malacateco, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CD Guastatoya vs. CD Malacateco match originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. For this match, comparing the implied probabilities on Polymarket against major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident in a particular scoreline than professional oddsmakers. Such gaps sometimes signal value for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously as traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into a particular scoreline, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This mechanism ensures that prices reflect the real-time consensus of active traders and remain responsive to new information about team form, injuries, or tactical changes.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match concludes and the final scoreline is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score must match one of the predefined outcomes available for trading. Once the result is official and verified, this market will settle to the corresponding outcome, and traders holding the winning shares will receive their payout.
Team news—including injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—typically shifts odds for specific scorelines, especially if a key player is ruled out. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all influence trader expectations. Late-breaking tactical announcements or unexpected roster updates in the hours before kickoff often trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, live match developments during the first half may cause traders to adjust positions if one side appears stronger than anticipated, moving probabilities for higher or lower-scoring outcomes.