TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 3:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for Saturday, August 1, 2026 between CD Guastatoya and CD Malacateco.
This event is for the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for Saturday, August 1, 2026 between CD Guastatoya and CD Malacateco.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market allows you to compare your own assessment against the consensus price on Polymarket, which can reveal opportunities if you believe the crowd is mispricing the match. Many traders use both sources to identify discrepancies and inform their positions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome fluctuates based on the ratio of shares bought and sold, creating a continuous, transparent price discovery process. As more traders express confidence in one result, its price rises and others fall. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects real-time expectations and gives you a clear signal of where the crowd stands on the match.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the final score and official match result, confirmed through established sports data sources. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as new information emerges—team news, injury updates, or betting patterns—that might shift trader expectations. Resolution is automatic once the event is finalized, and all positions settle according to the confirmed outcome.
Several catalysts can shift prices in this market before it resolves. Team news such as player injuries, lineup changes, or managerial decisions often trigger sharp moves, as do recent form updates and head-to-head records. Betting patterns from professional syndicates or large traders can also influence sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and late-breaking tactical announcements may sway the crowd's confidence. Additionally, any official statements from either club or regulatory bodies could reshape expectations and drive significant repricing of the outcomes.